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Another Bad Month for Home Prices



February was another bad month for the Case-Shiller index, the best measure of aggregate home prices. The overall San Diego index dropped a hefty 3.6 percent from January, for a total decline of 24.0 percent since the November 2005 peak.

As has become the custom, lower-priced homes were hit a lot worse than higher-priced homes. But as has become a more recent custom, high-priced homes have started to feel some substantial pain as well.

According to the Case-Shiller tiered price indexes, low-priced San Diego homes fell 4.1 percent for the month, mid-priced homes fell 3.9 percent, and high-priced homes fell 2.7 percent. The declines since the three tiers' respective peaks can be seen in the accompanying graph.

The Case-Shiller index, while comparatively accurate, lags a lot. Each month's index figure is based on sales activity from the prior three months. The February index, for example, is based on sales from December, January, and February. So assuming a somewhat constant price trend, the index is more representative of January prices than anything else.

Next week, we will have a look at the size-adjusted median price for homes sold in April. This less accurate but more timely indicator will at least give us an idea as to what's been happening since the early months of 2008.

-- RICH TOSCANO



A Nerd's Eye View

Rich Toscano is a financial advisor with Pacific Capital Associates*;
he also writes about San Diego real estate at Piggington's Econo-Almanac.
Contact him at rtoscano@pcasd.com.

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This Just In

El Cajon PD.com:

 The El Cajon Police Department launches a new community website. » May. 13 -- 5:47 pm



Mayor: OK, I'll Talk:

 Not much clarity yet on what happens next in the city's labor talks.

May. 13 -- 5:35 pm


The Horn Saga Continues:

 Who's wrong? Almost everyone, apparently.

May. 13 -- 12:08 pm


MOST POPULAR STORIES:

SURVIVAL IN SAN DIEGO

'My Neighbor Walked Away' :

  A reader's take on a neighbor's abrupt departure.

May. 13 -- 3:01 pm



LETTERS TO THE EDITOR

Elections Are About Winning:

 'Although I don’t take pride in it, I will take full responsibility for suggesting [Phil Thalheimer's 2004] no developer or special interest/lobbyist contribution strategy.'

May. 13 -- 1:54 pm



CAFÉ SAN DIEGO

An Uphill Battle :

  EHC members want to see Barrio Logan redeveloped and improved, but to the benefit of its residents, local businesses and historic cultural heritage. Big developers and speculators have other interests.

May. 8 -- 4:37 pm



COMMENTARY: SLOP

'Too Complicated, Too Difficult' :

  Steve Francis says he's giving 'more thoughtful answers' on immigration -- not flip-flopping.

May. 12 -- 9:33 pm



COMMENTARY: RICH TOSCANO

Another Record Month for Foreclosures :

  Foreclosure filings piled up at their fastest pace yet in April.

May. 12 -- 11:37 pm


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